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Ariane

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This Sunday, we are going to elect a new President for five years, in France. I was wondering if some of you are interested in this election.

There are 12 candidates but only four have a serious chance to win the first round :
_ Francois Bayrou (Centrist Party)
_ Jean-Marie Le Pen (Far-right party)
_ Nicolas Sarkozy (Right)
_ Segolene Royal (Left- Socialist Party)

A majority of people hopes the first round will be won by N. Sarkozy and S. Royal. If S. Royal is elected at the second round, it would be the first time that a woman wins the Presidential elections !

I have found a wikipedia link about the French Election... and yes, this is in english !
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/French_presidential_election%2C_2007#Candidates

It's the first time I am going to vote for the Presidential Elections. Last time I was too young to vote, but I have already voted for local elections. I know that this election is important for the future of our Nation and my vote will really count. What a responsibility !



MACJR

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I remember registering and voting for the first time. As luck would have it, it was a presidential election year when I turned 18, which is voting age here in the U.S.

 

I wanted to make sure to register so I could vote for Jimmy Carter. Unfortunately, Ronald Reagan won the election anyway... and this country has gone downhill ever since. Big business won and human rights have lost ground ever year since then.

 

 

MACJR


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Ariane

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These are the results of today :

ONLY 15% of the people did not vote, which is a record under the actual 5th
French Republic !

The two that have won the first round are :
_ Nicolas Sarkozy (30.4%, right)
_ Segolene Royal (25%, left)

In two weeks (May 6th), we will have to vote for the last and second round of the Presidential Elections.

Edited to change April to May - MACJR

MACJR

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It looks like your last predictions held up, Ariane.

 

Who do you think will win in two weeks?

 

 

MACJR


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Ariane

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Well, there is a difference between what I think and what I hope !

Here is the question : Between both, who has the chances to win François Bayrou's voters ? (He's got 18%, centrist party)
In fact all the other left parties' leaders (communists, troskysts, ecologists) told tonight their electorate to vote for Segolene at the second round. But even these votes won't be enough because between right and left parties, the right has globally more votes than the left.
The answer is consequently in Francois Bayrou's hands. He may purpose an alliance with Sarkozy or Segolene. But it seems that if he chooses to do an alliance, it will be probably with Segolene Royal.

I think anyway that N. Sarkozy has currently the best chances to be elected. French people are traditionnaly votes for the right parties since Francois Mitterand was the first and last socialist President we had under the 5th Republic. Segolene has chances to be the second one but she has to fight hard to win the elections.



Ariane

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These are the final results of the Presidential elections : Nicolas Sarkozy wins with 53%. He will be officially our President on May 16th. Segolene Royal loses with 46%.


waltcesca

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Reply with quote  #7 
is this a 'good' thing in your opinion?

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Ariane

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Well, I did not vote for him so in my mind, it's not really a good thing. He has been elected democratically, he is now the President. I give him a chance to prove himself. 17 millions of French voted for Segolene Royal (even if she has lost), their voices must be heard too.

In June, there will be the elections of the Parliament's Members that will determine the name of the Prime Minister who leads the Governement. Some people call this election the "third round of the Presidential Elections"...

In France, the legislative elections are also very important because our political system is parliamentary, whereas in USA, it's a presidential system. It's the political majority of the Parliament (Assembly and Senate) that determine the identity of the Prime Minister. So if the President and the Prime Minister are not in the same political party, it can cause tensions and blockages. That contradictory situation is called in french "Cohabitation", it happened two times :
_ With F. Mitterrand (left) as President and his Prime Minister J. Chirac (right) in 1983
_ With J. Chirac as President and his Prime Minister L. Jospin (left) in 1997

waltcesca

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Reply with quote  #9 

Thank you for the information. Is it too late then for whom you wanted? Or is PM 'good enough'?


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Ariane

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Yes it's probably too late... because it seems clear that the "Congressional elections" in June will be won by the right party too. There is no reason for the right to lose if a majority of French has just voted for N. Sarkozy as President ! So if the right wins the next elections in June, then the Prime Minister will be a guy from the right party too... All N. Sarkozy's political programme will be implemented consequently by his Ministers and laws voted by the Parliament.

I think that we can compare the actual french situation with the last American presidential elections. Both candidates had different conceptions of power, had different characters, and the results divided USA in two parts. I feel it's a bit the same here, even if the differences between Bush and Kerry were more evident.

Still, there are lots of good things in this election :
_ A lot of people voted (around 85%) for the first and second round , it shows the renewed interests in politics. Goodbuy massive abstention !
_ The far-right party led by J.M. Lepen had a low percentage this election (around 11%)

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